Norman Stone is right to say that Erdogan`s recent
"adventurism" does, indeed, "amount to an extraordinary departure" for Turkish
foreign policy since 1923, but he strangely failed to mention how the events of
the late 1870s substantiate his argument about Turkey`s dangerous provocation of
Russia (Erdogan`s dreams of empire are perilous for his country,07/12/15). The
role of principal thorn in the side of the Turks, then, was taken by Balkan nationalists, particularly after the
obscene mistreatment of the Bulgars which brought about Russian intervention to
protect fellow Slavs, a situation not too dissimilar from that of today. Russian
victory in the ensuing war in 1878 meant Britain, under the Tory Disraeli,
sticking her imperial nose in, especially when the San Stephano peace did not
suit her own territorial ambitions, and when an international affair looked as
though it would be settled without the involvement of the British. Disraeli may
have returned home from the Congress of Berlin a hero, but his misreading of the
political situation, and understimation of the strength of opposition to foreign
intervention, led to the early 20th century Balkan wars, and ultimately the
first world war. Historians say how Disraeli "backed the wrong horse", but the
lesson, surely, is to stay well away from the betting ring!
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