To whom was Martin Kettle referring when using the
first person plural in his article on the prime minister (We used to think May
was a safe pair of hands, No longer 17/03/17)? Certainly not the majority of
Guardian readers, and not even all Guardian writers. Alan Travis, last July,
warned about about May`s approach to civil liberties that was "too cavalier",
and reminded us both of her disgraceful "Go Home" vans which toured immigrant
communities, and policies which split up "an estimated 33,000 families because
they didn`t earn enough" (What does Theresa May`s record as Home Secretary tell
us? 18/07/16). How much of the present crisis in prisons is due to the
illiberal approach adopted over her six years in charge? Travis wrote of how she
"joked" that, whereas Ken Clarke wanted to "let them out", she preferred to
"lock them up".
A "safe pair of hands"
avoids unnecessary risks, but long before her Scottish "gamble" May was making
promises for which it would be difficult, in some cases impossible, to garner
Tory party support. Since when have Tory MPs not been driven "by the interests
of the privileged few", or cared about "burning injustice"? Two budgets have
revealed how little this government is concerned about the "just about
managing", whilst May`s sudden support, both vocal and financial, for grammar
schools, when state schools face "real-term cuts to funding by
2019-20", imperils party unity further.
A safe bet she certainly never was, but the low
profile "Submarine May" deliberately kept during the referendum campaign
revealed a political cunning, which might well have peaked too
soon!
Opposition parties need to be careful! Conservative
MPs may be saying in public that a snap general election should be called "to
capitalise on Labour`s woes", and to "secure a personal mandate" for the prime
minister, but I suspect the real reason is more duplicitous (May`s MPs urge her
to call snap general elction, 20/03/17). Even Lord Hague has admitted "trouble
is coming"!
With the election
expenses` scandal likely to escalate, the grammar school issue to backfire,
Scotland to continue to be problematic, and 27 EU members to be adamant the
Brexit deal be unfavourable to the UK, Tory MPs must know an election now,
rather in 2020, is their best bet on political survival. Going to the polls in
2020, after a hard Brexit, no access to the single market, and increasing
inflation, interest rates and unemployment adding to woes caused by the Tories`
deliberate underfunding of the NHS and state schools, does not appear an
attractive prospect to most Tory MPs. The "just about managing" certainly won`t
be voting for them, despite the rhetoric!
Labour being on "an
early-election footing" is requisite political posturing, but its leaders should
be considering the likely pitfalls of an election now, and the obvious benefits
of one later. McDonnell admits that Labour is "not getting a fair hearing with
the media", so why give May the opportunity to increase her majority? By 2020
the polls might well be different!
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